Summer Sessions Webisode 3
[Vimeo 14485027]
Danielle
Danielle has just been updated to a Category 4 Hurricane, it’s still moving westward but it’s looking like it will stay out to sea.
It’s looking like Danielle could be a quick swell event, coming in late tomorrow and fading out around Monday night. This is a forecast image for Tropical Storm Earl on Sunday the 8th. Still a ways out for accurate forecasting but if the storm followed this exact track we could see some solid surf for next week.
Either way there should be waist high surf through the middle of this coming week so get out there.
Tropics Update
UPDATE Wednesday 9:30pm – While the path of Earl is still unknown some of the models are showing it building to a major hurricane and passing close the south eastern US. There is also another disturbance behind Earl that is favored to turn into a tropical storm.
Quoted from Jeff Masters blog this afternoon
“The latest GFS model run develops this wave into a tropical depression 3 – 4 days from now. I can’t see any reason why this would not occur. Conditions for tropical cyclone development will remain favorable in the Eastern Atlantic for at least the next week, and the GFS models has successfully predicted the development of both Danielle and TD 7 over the past two weeks. This new wave probably has a better chance of hitting the U.S. East Coast than either Danielle or TD 7.”
The long range forecast is always dodgy, but here is the 180hr forecast for Danielle and Earl.
2010 Hurricane Season
9:15pm 8-23-10 UPDATE: Storm Track Image
Tropical Storm Danielle has been upgraded to Hurricane Danielle. It’s still questionable as to which track the Hurricane will take, but we are surely going to see some energy from it by the beginning of next week.
Matt Noyes is a New England weather forecaster, his site is easy to navigate and on point….he posts on MATTNOYES.net…take a look at his post yesterday.
“Tracking the Tropics: The tropical wave I’ve been tracking over Africa is looking organized tonight, and I still think it’s on track to become a Tropical Depression on Saturday, and Tropical Storm Danielle by the end of the weekend. The storm seems likely to me that it will become a hurricane by the end of Monday or start of Tuesday.”
And is a shot of the current computer generated models:
alpine-live.com 